Friday, May 31, 2013
Sunday, April 28, 2013
CCI (Cabinet Committee on Investment): Game changer in infrastructure sector ?
CCI (Cabinet Committee on Investment): Game changer in infrastructure sector ?
There
are two much talks about infrastructure reforms these days. In the article
below I have tried to analyse the real situation of infrastructure projects in
India and what steps government and CCI (Cabinet Committee on Investment) have
taken to improve infrastructure investments (Figures quoted have been taken
from websites of various regulatory bodies and news reports)
Couple of day’s back Mr. Srikant Kumar
Jena (Minister of statistics and programme implementation) informed parlimelemt
that at January 1, 2013, of the total 566 projects, 276 were delayed and the
estimated cost of each of these projects is above Rs.1.50 bn. Among the 276
projects, delay in clearances relating to environment and forest were reported
by the project implementing agencies in 43 projects, of which 8 were in
railways sector, 10 were in coal sector, 15 were in road transport and
highways, 2 were in petroleum sector and 8 were in power sector .
Recently FICICI (Federation of Indian
Chambers of Commerce and Industry) has also submitted a list of 14
manufacturing projects holding up investment of Rs. 1,278 bn for want of
various clearances to the government. Of the stalled projects, steel sector
which involved investments of Rs. 1,050 bn. Others fall in cement,
petrochemical based products, paper, gems and jewellery, non-ferrous metal as
of April this year. FICCI also claimed that if these projects gets cleared
India's GDP growth could rise by one percentage point.
These stalled projects not only raise
non-performing assets of banks but also the incremental capital-output ratio
(ICOR1) in the country. In last two years India’s ICOR was close to 5 and this was
one of the reasons found for a decade-low growth of only 5%. Higher ICOR simply
means investment capital accumulated in projects is not yielding appropriate
production
There are over 100 projects, each
involving investment of Rs 10.00 bn or more, which are held up because of some
reason or the other. In last few months government has shown some intent of
clearing these stalled projects by setting up a CCI (Cabinet Committee on
Investment) to accord approval to mega projects worth over Rs 10.00
bn. CCI will seek to remove investment bottlenecks and drive growth, this
CCI panel is headed by the Prime Minister and have ministers in charge of
infrastructure sectors as its members. Of the total stalled projects in the
country worth Rs. 7,000 bn, the committee has taken steps to push the
evolvement of projects worth 1,500 bn
In oil and gas sector, the ministry of Defence imposed stringent conditions like asking companies not to locate any pipelines or structures on sea surface in the blocks cleared for exploration and production activities. Subsea/submerged permanent structures, if any, were to be located more than 100 metres below sea surface or outside the Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO)/Indian Air Force (IAF) danger zone area (on sea surface) or Naval exercise areas. The oil industry saw these conditions as impractical and after discussions with CCI, the conditions have been substantially relaxed .
In total, CCI had to consider clearances for 40 oil and natural gas blocks, worth Rs 500 billion. In March 2013 it cleared 5 blocks and in April 2013 it cleared 25 blocks for oil and gas activities (out of total 31 oil blocks which came for review in April) . Nine blocks were cleared without any conditions and 16 blocks were cleared with relaxed conditions. Reliance Industries-BP combine 13 blocks, Govt owned ONGC 15 blocks, Santos of Australia 2 blocks and 1 block of Cairn India-led consortium.
CCI also reviewed the status of 20 power
projects, each with investment of Rs. 10 bn or more, which were pending for
different types of approvals and clearances with a view to expediting decisions
on approvals and clearances. In the last meeting CCI cleared 13 power projects,
freeing up stalled investment of around Rs 330 bn. These 13 projects include 10
transmission, one hydro and two thermal projects.
Though measures taken by CCI are big step forward but more work needs to be done and government has to ensure that there is speedy execution of these projects if India has to grow with a GDP growth rate of 8.0%. We also need new initiatives including like rigorous project appraisal, e- monitoring system, fixing of responsibility for time and cost overruns and regular review of the infrastructure projects by the concerned administrative ministries. For CCI to be a true game changer - it has to cut red tape, renew investor confidence and ease availability of funds
1. ICOR is a metric that assesses the marginal amount of
investment capital necessary for an entity to generate the next unit of
production. Overall, a higher ICOR value is not preferred because it indicates
that the entity's production is inefficient. The measure is used predominantly
in determining a country's level of production efficiency.
K-
Capital stock,Y- output (GDP), I- net investment
ICOR= ((I/Y)/(delta Y/ Y)) or (delta
K/delta Y). According to this formula the incremental capital output ratio can
be computed by dividing the investment share in GDP by the rate of growth of
GDP.
Monday, April 8, 2013
RBI prudential norms on advances to infrastructure sector
RBI softens infrastructure financing norms
Till now, RBI classified loans to
infrastructure annuity project as secured loans but loans to BOT (toll), PPP
project as unsecured. The only 'security' that the bank had in case of
BOT ( Toll )1, PPP projects was the Model Concession Agreement ( MCA) and
other similar agreements that specified the rights and obligations of the
government and the developer. This kind of guarantee by project authority
was considered as secured by Rating agencies but not by RBI.
RBI vide notification dated March 18, 2012
allowed that in case of PPP projects, the debts due to the lenders may be
considered as secured to the extent assured by the project authority in terms
of the Concession Agreement, if they meet certain conditions
The conditions include that the user
charges, toll, or tariff payments are kept in an escrow account where senior
lenders have priority over withdrawals by the concessionaire and there is
sufficient risk mitigation, such as pre-determined increase in user charges or
increase in concession period, in case project revenues are lower than
anticipated. Among other conditions, the lenders are required to have
right of substitution in case of concessionaire default and also to trigger
termination in case of default in debt service; and upon termination, the
project authority has an obligation of compulsory buy-out and repayment of debt
due in a pre- determined manner.
Explaining the reason behind the move, RBI
also said, “It has been brought to our notice that most of the projects in
India are user-charge based for which the Planning Commission has published
Model Concession Agreements (MCAs). These have been adopted by various
Ministries and State Governments for their respective public-private partnership
(PPP) projects and they provide adequate comfort to the lenders regarding
security of their debt”.
Analysis of Impact
1. Classification
of loans to PPP project as secured may impact PPP projects worth Rs 10,000 bn
Total
Infrastructure
financing
for the 12th FYP
|
Rs billion
|
Total requirement
|
56,000
|
Expected private participation including PPP (48%)
|
27,000
|
Assuming 70:30 debt equity ratio scenario, the private
sector has to manage
|
18,900
|
Conservative estimate
|
10,000
|
2. Amount of capital written off for
'doubtful' assets is 100% for an unsecured loan and it's just 20% for a secured
loan to the infrastructure sector, so Banks will now have five times as much of
a capital cushion than they would otherwise have had. This will increase
liquidity and bank’s ability to finance more in the infrastructure
sector.
3. Classification of loans to
PPP projects as secured will also attract other players including insurance
companies to invest in such projects
4. As per Planning Commission
interest rates for PPP projects would likely come down by about 100 basis
points.
Monday, February 20, 2012
India's Infrastructure Debt Fund
India's Infrastructure Debt Fund
The RBI has given its permission to banks
and non-banking financial companies NBFCs for setting up infrastructure debt
funds in the form of NBFCs or mutual funds on September 23, 2011. This comes at
a time when the Planning Commission has projected a huge investment requirement
of the order of about $1 trillion in the Twelfth Plan (2012-17) for
infrastructure projects.
SEBI also recently formulated a draft
chapter VI-B, which on insertion in the existing Mutual Fund Regulations shall
permit setting up of IDFs on this route by registered MFs as a scheme. The
Board of SEBI said that they will announce the scheme separately after due
process.
An IDF may be set up either as a trust or
as a company. A trust based IDF would be a mutual fund that would issue units
while a company based IDF would be a non-banking finance company (NBFC) that
would issue bonds.
The investors would primarily be domestic
and off-shore institutional investors, especially Insurance and Pension Funds
who have long term resources. Banks and FIs would only be allowed to invest as
sponsors of an IDF.
IDF floated as MF
1. Banks acting as sponsors to
IDF-MFs would be subject to existing prudential limits including limits on
investments in financial services companies and limits on CME.
2. NBFC acting as sponsors to
IDF-MF, they will be required to have minimum net owned funds (NOF) of Rs 300
crore, CRAR of 15 % ; and net NPA of less than 3.0% of net advances. Further,
NBFCs should have been in existence for at least 5 years; earning profits for
the last three years and their performance should be satisfactory.
IDF floated as NBFC
Sponsors (Banks and NBFC-IFC) will have to
contribute a minimum equity of 30.0 % and a maximum equity of 49.0% in
IDF-NBFC.
1. Banks
acting as sponsor to IDF-NBFCs would be subject to existing prudential
limits including limits on investments in financial services companies and
limits on CME .
2. NBFC
acting as sponsor to IDF-NBFC Post investment in the IDF, the sponsor must
maintain minimum CRAR and NOF prescribed for IFCs.
3. Criteria
for IDF-NBFC
i) The IDF must have NOF of Rs. 300 crore
or above;
ii) The IDF should be assigned a minimum
credit rating 'A' or equivalent of CRISIL, FITCH, CARE, ICRA or equivalent
rating by any other accredited rating agencies;
iii) Tier II capital cannot exceed Tier I.
Minimum CRAR should be 15% of risk weighted assets;
iv) The IDF shall invest only in PPP and
post COD infrastructure projects which have completed at least one year of
satisfactory commercial operation and are a party to a Tripartite Agreement
with the concessionaire and the Project Authority for ensuring a
compulsory buyout with termination payment;
v) For the purpose of computing capital
adequacy of the IDF, bonds covering PPP and post COD projects in existence over
a year of commercial operation shall be assigned a risk weight of 50%
The maximum exposure that an IDF can take
to a borrower or a group of borrowers will be at 50% of its total capital
funds. Additional exposure up to 10%would be allowed at the discretion of the
Board of the IDF-NBFC.
Post-investment in the IDF-MF, the CRAR of
the NBFC should not be less than that prescribed and it should continue to
maintain the required level of NOF.
Positives and negatives of IDF NBFC
Positives:
1. The NBFC structure may issue bonds in both Rupee and foreign currencies
thus have less risk as compared to Mutual fund structure which can issue only
Rupee denominated units
2. This may help
banks reduce dependence on takeout financing agencies and will take off the
burden from the banks which are nearing their exposure limits to various
sectors and companies
3. The IDFs will
also help accelerate the evolution of a secondary market for bonds which is
presently lacking in sufficient depth. Thus the IDFs would enable sourcing of
funds through alternate sources which would help in bridging the likely debt
gap.
Negatives:
1. IDF NBFC can invest only
in PPP and post COD infrastructure projects which have completed at least one
year of satisfactory commercial operation; this would make a large number of
projects that are under moratorium and pure private projects ineligible for
lending.
2. Most power
projects that take five years and more to complete may not be eligible for funding by
IDFs.
IDF is surely an innovative way to bring
new sources of both domestic and international investment into the marketplace
and will help to close the growing funding gap
Monday, May 16, 2011
Delhi International Airport Ltd
DIAL is a joint venture consortium of Bangalore headquartered global Infrastructure major GMR Group (54%), Airports Authority of India (26%), Fraport & Eraman Malaysia (10% each). GMR is the lead member of the consortium; Fraport AG is the airport operator, Eraman Malaysia - the retail advisors.
In January 2006, the consortium was awarded the concession to operate, manage and develop the IGI Airport following an international competitive bidding process. DIAL entered in to Operations, Management and Development Agreement (OMDA) on April 4, 2006 with the AAI. The initial term of the concession is 30 years extendable by a further 30 years.
In January 2006, the consortium was awarded the concession to operate, manage and develop the IGI Airport following an international competitive bidding process. DIAL entered in to Operations, Management and Development Agreement (OMDA) on April 4, 2006 with the AAI. The initial term of the concession is 30 years extendable by a further 30 years.
The development of IGI Airport is taking place under a phased Master Plan. As part of the first phase DIAL has already commissioned a new runway and domestic terminal at IGIA. In July 2010, DIAL commissioned a modern integrated passenger Terminal (Terminal 3).
The Delhi Airport is being developed on the following contractual structure:
Sunday, May 15, 2011
The Pecking Order ,Static trade off & signalling theory
The Pecking Order Theory
The pecking order theory describes how firms raise capital. This theory says that firms are
driven by information asymmetries and transaction costs to use internally generated capital first before turning to more expensive sources of financing. Once their internal sources are used, then firms will use debt (where the information asymmetry problem is less severe)
first and then as a last resort equity.
driven by information asymmetries and transaction costs to use internally generated capital first before turning to more expensive sources of financing. Once their internal sources are used, then firms will use debt (where the information asymmetry problem is less severe)
first and then as a last resort equity.
The pecking order theory is able to explain why firms tend to depend on internal sources of funds and prefer debt to equity if external financing is required. Thus, a firm’s leverage is not driven by the trade-off theory, but it is simply the cumulative results of the firm’s attempts to mitigate information asymmetry.
As per Myer’s Pecking order theory firm will take debt in which they have to give least information to the market
Order
1. Retained Earning
2. Private debt
3. Public debt
4. Equity
The Static Trade off theory
This theory deals with the cost of distress and positive effects of tax. According to this theory D/V is optimal when Marginal Benefit of tax shield are not greater than marginal cost of bankruptcy or
PV (Tax Shields) = PV (Expc Bankruptcy Costs)
Using High leverage in the capital structure cannot be explained.
Signalling theory –As per this theory by raising public debt companies provide signal to the market that there are many investors and project is good.
Friday, May 13, 2011
Take out Financing
Take out Financing
As per RBI notification (DBOD. No. BP. BC. 67 / 21.04.048/ 2002- 2003)
• Take-out financing structure is essentially a mechanism designed to enable banks to avoid asset-liability maturity mismatches that may arise out of extending long tenor loans to infrastructure projects. Under the arrangements, banks financing the infrastructure projects will have an arrangement with IDFC or any other financial institution for transferring to the latter the outstanding in their books on a pre-determined basis. IDFC and SBI have devised different take-out financing structures to suit the requirements of various banks, addressing issues such as liquidity, asset-liability mismatches, limited availability of project appraisal skills, etc. They have also developed a Model Agreement that can be considered for use as a document for specific projects in conjunction with other project loan documents. The agreement between SBI and IDFC could provide a reference point for other banks to enter into somewhat similar arrangements with IDFC or other financial institutions.
In simple words It is a method of providing finance for long projects (say 15 years) by sanctioning medium-term loans (five-seven years). It involves an understanding that the loan will be taken out of the books of the financing bank within a pre-fixed period and taken over by another institution, thereby preventing any possible asset-liability mismatch, as most liabilities of banks are in the form of deposits with tenures of less than five years.
According to the Reserve Bank of India data, in financial year ended March 2009, Only. Around 7.4 per cent deposits had a maturity period of more than five years. After taking out the loan, the institution can off-load it to another bank or keep it.Although the concept has witnessed teething troubles, a revival is expected given that RBI is expected to allow tapping of external commercial borrowings for takeout
Financing.
• Institution/bank financing the infrastructure projects will have an arrangement with any financial institution for transferring to the latter out standings in respect of such financing in their books on a pre-determined basis.
• It help the banks in asset liability management since the financing of infrastructure is long term in nature against their short-term resources
Advantages
• Infrastructure projects will face less financing difficulties arising from the downturns.
• Incremental lending to infrastructure will provide additional liquidity in the system.
Borrowing capacity of project developers will increase and will enable them to participate in mega projects
Borrowing capacity of project developers will increase and will enable them to participate in mega projects
Prerequisite for takeout financing
• A proper yield curve is a prerequisite for takeout financing to succeed.
• Securitisation framework for selling of the project loans would need to be clarified.
Types of Take out Financing
- Unconditional take out finance -The unconditional take out finance involves the assumption of partial / full credit risk by the institution agreeing to take over the finance from the original lender
- Conditional take over: -In this scenario, the taking over institution would have stipulated certain conditions to be satisfied by the borrower before it is taken over from the lending institution. There is, therefore, an element of uncertainty over the ultimate transfer of the assets to the taking over institution.
- Income recognition and provisioning - The norms of income recognition and provisioning will have to be followed by the concerned bank/ FI in whose books the account stands as balance sheet item as on the relevant date (If risk is lower (based on DSCR) interest rate is lower .
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